Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Rio Ave
25.7%
Draw
36.8%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Rio Ave
vs
1.49
Arouca
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).