Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.8%
Lillestrøm
17.1%
Draw
72.0%
Tromsø
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Lillestrøm
vs
2.29
Tromsø
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.4%
0-1
10.9%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).