Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Alaves
32.4%
Draw
29.7%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Alaves
vs
0.87
Eibar
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.5%
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).