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HHT: 10CSV

14 Jan 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.4%
Lille
23.9%
Draw
28.7%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Lille

vs
1.21

Lorient

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).