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27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Cray Valley (PM)
20.1%
Draw
61.0%
Tonbridge Angels

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Cray Valley (PM)

vs
2.07

Tonbridge Angels

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).