Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Crewe
23.4%
Draw
30.3%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Crewe
vs
1.17
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).