Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Asteras Tripolis
28.1%
Draw
13.6%
Apollon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Asteras Tripolis
vs
0.59
Apollon
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).