⚽ FootballData
Aris

Home

1 – 0
HHT: 00

05 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
76.7%
Aris
15.8%
Draw
7.5%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Aris

vs
0.50

Angers

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.3%
1-0
15.4%
3-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).