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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Westfield
22.9%
Draw
34.1%
Newcastle

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Westfield

vs
1.46

Newcastle

Markets

BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).