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23 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.2%
Inverness C
28.5%
Draw
56.3%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Inverness C

vs
1.60

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
2.6%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).