Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Hartlepool
33.8%
Draw
24.1%
Kidderminster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Hartlepool
vs
0.76
Kidderminster
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
1-0
16.0%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).