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HHT: 10CSV

28 Jan 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.7%
Grimsby
29.1%
Draw
37.2%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Grimsby

vs
1.06

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).