Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
FC Koln
27.5%
Draw
21.4%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
FC Koln
vs
0.94
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).