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03 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.7%
Stockport
13.9%
Draw
8.3%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

2.55

Stockport

vs
0.70

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
0-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).