Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Preston
24.4%
Draw
13.6%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Preston
vs
0.70
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).