Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
AVS
32.9%
Draw
38.3%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
AVS
vs
1.08
Tondela
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).