Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Reggiana
31.1%
Draw
46.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Reggiana
vs
1.30
Modena
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).