Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Lechia Gdańsk
21.0%
Draw
35.7%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
2.03
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS78.2%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.579.9%
Over 3.561.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
3-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-3
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
3-3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
4-2
3.0%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).