Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.5%
AEK
19.6%
Draw
7.9%
Panionios
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
AEK
vs
0.56
Panionios
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.6%
0-1
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
5-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).