Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Ath Bilbao
23.6%
Draw
17.6%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.86
Levante
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).