Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
AVS
27.6%
Draw
46.5%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
AVS
vs
1.28
Farense
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).