Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Zaragoza
27.7%
Draw
31.5%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Zaragoza
vs
1.07
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).