Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
York
14.1%
Draw
7.7%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
York
vs
0.85
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).