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19 Jan 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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91.0%
Leeds
7.3%
Draw
1.7%
Sheffield Wednesday

Expected Goals (xG)

3.28

Leeds

vs
0.36

Sheffield Wednesday

Markets

BTTS29.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
4-0
12.6%
1-0
8.4%
5-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
1-1
3.4%
5-1
3.0%
0-0
2.9%
3-2
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).