Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Caen
23.2%
Draw
56.2%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Caen
vs
1.59
Troyes
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).