Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Burgos
27.5%
Draw
32.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Burgos
vs
1.11
Almeria
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).