Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Stoke
28.3%
Draw
25.1%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Stoke
vs
1.02
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).