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17 Jan 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Grenoble
25.4%
Draw
26.4%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Grenoble

vs
0.93

Martigues

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).