Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Millwall
24.1%
Draw
20.2%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Millwall
vs
1.06
Leicester
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).