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06 Dec 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Crowborough Athletic
29.5%
Draw
42.0%
Ath Madrid

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Crowborough Athletic

vs
1.23

Ath Madrid

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).