Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Portsmouth
33.3%
Draw
27.9%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Portsmouth
vs
0.87
Oxford
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.2%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).