Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Santa Clara
32.2%
Draw
29.5%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Santa Clara
vs
0.95
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).