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20 Nov 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Weymouth
29.8%
Draw
37.5%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Weymouth

vs
1.25

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).