Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
AFC Dunstable
34.0%
Draw
35.7%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
AFC Dunstable
vs
0.86
Bury
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.580.9%
Over 1.548.2%
Over 2.522.6%
Over 3.58.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.1%
0-1
17.2%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
2.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).