Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Morecambe
22.4%
Draw
51.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Morecambe
vs
1.66
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).