Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Auxerre
13.8%
Draw
10.0%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Auxerre
vs
0.81
Amiens
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
3-0
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).