Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Marseille
18.4%
Draw
16.2%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Marseille
vs
0.97
Amiens
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).