Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Lens
22.9%
Draw
18.4%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Lens
vs
0.76
Niort
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).