Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Port Vale
17.7%
Draw
69.0%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Port Vale
vs
2.10
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).