Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Hammarby
20.1%
Draw
7.8%
Halmstad
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Hammarby
vs
0.55
Halmstad
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).