Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
M'gladbach
25.8%
Draw
26.9%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
M'gladbach
vs
1.21
Hertha
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).