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15 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.4%
Braunschweig
24.3%
Draw
57.2%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Braunschweig

vs
1.88

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).