Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Leyton Orient
19.3%
Draw
25.2%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Leyton Orient
vs
1.38
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).