Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk
33.2%
Draw
20.3%
Kharkiv
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
0.62
Kharkiv
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.551.4%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
0-0
18.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).