Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Oviedo
22.4%
Draw
15.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Oviedo
vs
0.75
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).