Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
AFC Wimbledon
25.3%
Draw
18.0%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.70
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).