Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Lyon
23.8%
Draw
15.1%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Lyon
vs
0.65
Angers
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).