Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Peterboro
26.5%
Draw
52.1%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Peterboro
vs
1.65
Swansea
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).