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23 Nov 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.5%
HamKam
11.6%
Draw
5.9%
Haugesund

Expected Goals (xG)

2.88

HamKam

vs
0.66

Haugesund

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
3-0
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).