Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Hajduk Split
26.2%
Draw
14.1%
Gorica
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Hajduk Split
vs
0.72
Gorica
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).